Arizona Tribune - Equities mixed on flat retail sales, IMF inflation warning

Traders have also been sifting the tea leaves for a steer on when the Federal Reserve will cut US interest rates.

The Dow -- which chalked up its first record since May on Monday -- was up 8.8 percent around 20 minutes into the session after June retail sales slipped less than analysts had anticipated.

However the major European indices all slipped back.

London and Paris lost close to one percent while Frankfurt dipped as a key survey showed German investor confidence fell for the first time in a year -- and the German ZEW institute's closely watched economic expectations index also fell to 41.8 points, from 47.5 points in June.

The International Monetary Fund weighed in with its latest global outlook update, which indicated the world economy will grow 3.2 percent this year, unchanged from its April forecast.

But the IMF trimmed its forecasts for the United States and Japan and also warned of ongoing inflation risks and trade tensions ahead.

"For now, the prospect of looser monetary policy from the Fed and a favourable economic background is helping to keep a positive gloss on sentiment," said David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation.

The dollar firmed in line with Treasury yields on speculation that another Trump tariff battle with China and likely tax cuts could push inflation higher.

Gold, seen as a haven investment, headed back towards a record-high seen in May.

- 'Complex landscape' -

"The confluence of political developments, economic data, and central bank actions continues to create a complex landscape for global currencies," said Luca Santos, market analyst at ACY Securities.

Recent polls show Trump's chances of beating incumbent Joe Biden have surged since the weekend assassination attempt on the former president, while his choice of J.D. Vance as his November running mate saw US futures extend gains.

"Increased market confidence after Saturday's failed assassination attempt that Donald Trump will be re-elected president in November has been reflected in market movements across US Treasuries, equities and currencies since the weekend," said Ray Attrill at National Australia Bank.

Earlier, in Asia, Hong Kong dropped more than one percent owing to further losses in the tech sector, while Sydney, Singapore, Manila, Bangkok and Jakarta also fell.

Tokyo, Seoul, Wellington, Taipei and Mumbai edged up and Shanghai was slightly higher with traders awaiting policy measures from China's leaders as they hold a key economic meeting this week.

On the corporate front, Cartier-owner Richemont said its quarterly sales in China tumbled by 27 percent as the deepening economic malaise in the world's second-largest economy lashes luxury firms.

- Key figures around 1350 GMT -

New York - Dow: UP 0.8 percent at 40,517.09

London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.7 percent at 8,130.90 points

Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 0.9 percent at 7,560.80

Frankfurt - DAX: DOWN 0.6 percent at 18,468.99

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.7 percent at 4,945.58

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 0.2 percent at 41,275.08 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.6 percent at 17,727.98 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 2,976.30 (close)

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0882 from $1.0902 on Monday

Dollar/yen: UP at 158.57 yen from 158.09 yen

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2951 from $1.2970

Euro/pound: DOWN at 84.02 pence from 84.03 pence

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.8 percent at $80.48 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 1.6 percent at $83.51 per barrel

A.Ruiz--AT